Peer-reviewed Publications

"Heavy Tailed, but not Zipf: Firm and Establishment Size in the U.S." (with Illenin Kondo and Andrea Stella). First version: October 2018. Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 38, Issue 5 (Aug. 2023), pp. 767-785. Previously distributed as, "On the U.S. Establishment and Firm Size Distributions". Abstract

"Bill of Lading Data in International Trade Research with an Application to the COVID-19 Pandemic" (with Aaron Flaaen, Flora Haberkorn, Anderson Monken, Justin Pierce, Rosemary Rhodes, and Madeleine Yi). Review of International Economics, Vol. 31, Issue 3 (Aug. 2023), pp. 1146-1172. First version: September 2021. Abstract

"Structural Change and Global Trade" (with Ryan Monarch, Michael Sposi, and Jing Zhang). Journal of the European Economic Association, Vol. 20, Issue 1 (Feb. 2022), pp.476-512. First version: December 2017. Working paper version. Abstract
Media: NYTimes

"How Important are Trade Prices for Trade Flows?" (previously circulated at "Menu Costs, Trade Flows, and Exchange Rate Volatility") IMF Economic Review, Vol. 65, Issue 3 (Aug. 2017), pp. 471-497. First version: May 2011. This version: June 2017. Working paper version. Abstract

"Exports versus Multinational Production under Nominal Uncertainty" Journal of International Economics, Vol. 94, No. 2 (Nov. 2014), pp. 371-386. Working paper version. Abstract

"Does the Fed Respond to Oil Price Shocks?" (with Lutz Kilian), Economic Journal, Vol. 121, Issue 555 (Sep. 2011), pp. 1047-1072. Working paper version. Abstract

"The Collapse of International Trade During the 2008-2009 Crisis: In Search of the Smoking Gun" (with Andrei Levchenko and Linda Tesar), IMF Economic Review, Vol. 58, No. 2 (Dec. 2010), pp. 214-253 (also longer NBER Working Paper No. 16006) Abstract

Other Publications

"The Role of Financial Factors in the Trade Collapse: A Skeptic's View" (with Andrei Levchenko and Linda Tesar). In Trade Finance during the Great Trade Collapse Ed. Jean-Pierre Chauffour, Mirem Malouch. Washington, DC: The World Bank 2011: 133-147. Abstract

"The 'Collapse in Quality' Hypothesis" (with Andrei Levchenko and Linda Tesar). AER Papers and Proceedings, 101:3 (May 2011), 293-297. Working paper version.

In Progress

"The Establishment Margin of Firm Growth" joint with Illenin Kondo and Andrea Stella.

"Asymmetries and Non-linearities in Exchange Rate Pass-through" joint with Mina Kim and Rob Vigfusson.

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